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百色翻译公司关键字：The second forecast: economic专业翻译公司服务最好的 growth and first half compared to the steady decline in the second half of economic专业翻译公司服务最好的 growth for the system to provide a proper background. Second half of 2001 economic专业翻译公司服务最好的 growth remains steady, but will fall slightly. The following reasons: First, the pattern of the second half of the international economic专业翻译公司服务最好的 outlook will remain essential to maintain the old or stabilized, but this round of the U.S. economy and the adjustment will be the new 10-year long economic专业翻译公司服务最好的 boom of the corresponding medium-term adjustment, it can not expect the external environment will An unexpected external demand appears to stimulate our economy. Last year, China's foreign trade to GDP growth stimulating effect of 0.47 percentage points, while in 2001 a sharp rise in foreign investment in China may increase 0.3-0.5 percentage points more than GDP, so the surge in capital inflows of foreign trade can be roughly offset by the impact of landslides . Second, China's economic专业翻译公司服务最好的 growth, the dominant instability basically eliminated, even before 2003, China's dominant economic专业翻译公司服务最好的 system of external uncertainties, such as increased opening up of state-owned enterprise reform, social class and stability, are uneventfully. The hidden problem is they are "Rome was not built in a day." Third, the public is expected to remain stable, while real estate investment and consumption, despite the boom, but it is independent of the domestic market started in the medium term will not be ups and downs, even if the end of Tenth Five Year Plan, China's consumption of housing loans as the leading consumer credit to 2 trillion, in the proportion of the loan, but also 10%. Fourth, some uncertainties, such as whole grain acreage reduction, accelerated deterioration of the situation of urban employment and overall income growth of farmers continued to deteriorate, disturbance of the impact of negative GDP growth is not. Therefore, the reason to believe that second half of 2001, even in the medium term, China's economy are likely to 7% -8% of the cabinets to run loose, not tight run. This is precisely the major changes in China's economic专业翻译公司服务最好的 system is more appropriate when the strategic context.
The third prediction: WTO and are difficult to quantify the impact of China's reform and opening up, like, so far we do not really know the so-called "Olympic economy" of China's efforts in boosting the economy, which should be calm and not enthusiastic. The negative of such forecasts may predict quite different classic the most distant, but worthy of attention. In the second half put the two external material, one accession to the WTO soon; second is the successful Olympic bid. The reason why the impact of WTO accession to quantify, not only in its structure may be made on China's macro-economy of a new paradigm, it is perhaps the government政府许可的定点正规翻译公司 can not experience pain Nirvana, to form the basis of the balance of powers "government政府许可的定点正规翻译公司 internal governance structure." Similarly, the present, including Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, the National Statistics Bureau of the economic专业翻译公司服务最好的 experts of the "Olympics" of the impact of China's macroeconomic专业翻译公司服务最好的 forecast is strange, driving GDP from 0.3% -1.0% have a variety of claims, which reminds us of the "Olympic economy" needs to maintain a sober and sensible.
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